Higher oil prices would support Nigeria’s economic recovery in 2018 - IMF
The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has
said Nigeria’s economy might be on the path of recovery should there be a
boom in oil prices.
The IMF in its
annual Article IV review of Nigeria’s economy said a ‘muddle-through’
outlook is projected for the medium term under current policies, with
fiscal dominance and structural constraints leading to continuing falls
in real GDP per capita.
“Higher oil
prices would support a recovery in 2018 but a ‘muddle-through’ outlook
is projected for the medium term under current policies, with fiscal
dominance and structural constraints leading to continuing falls in real
GDP per capita,” the IMF said.
The role of 2019 general election
The
IMF report also identified risks to growth including additional delays
to implementing policies and reforms ahead of 2019 elections.
The report further said should the oil prices witness a price fall, the economy will witness capital flows reversed.
“Further
delays in policy action -- including because of pre-election pressures
-- can only make the inevitable adjustment more difficult and costlier,” the report said.
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